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3 reasons why 49ers will beat Seahawks in Week 5 (and 3 reasons they won't)

ByZane Gelphman
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy, Seattle Seahawks defensive end Leonard Williams | USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Connect

The San Francisco 49ers are preparing for a pivotal Week 5 matchup against the division rival Seattle Seahawks. With both teams looking strong early, the contest looks to be a heavyweight battle that will have significant ramifications as the season goes on.

San Francisco is 4-0 and riding high, but the Seahawks will be their toughest test to date. As they head into the unwelcoming confines of Lumen Field, here are the three reasons they will steal a win away from Sam Darnold and company - and three reasons they won't.

Why they will

1. Special teams

Seattle has been struggling on special teams this year, and there is no way around it. They are giving up over 30.0 yards per punt return, so Jacob Cowing could have a field day. All it would take is one breakaway return to shift the entire momentum of the game.

By PFF's standards, San Francisco has the 14th-overall graded special teams unit through four weeks. It's not elite, but it's far better than Seattle's. Special teams is often overlooked in divisional games like this one, when one miscue can change the entire landscape of the afternoon.

2. The ground game

The 49ers have had an excellent running game over the first month of the season. They are averaging 4.8 yards per carry as a team, and bellcow Christian McCaffrey has looked more effective as coach Kyle Shanahan seems committed to lightening his weekly workload.

In contrast, the Seahawks have struggled to generate production on the ground. They are averaging just 3.9 yards per carry as a team, and rookie Jadarian Price is on IR for at least three more weeks.

That puts pressure on Emanuel Wilson, who has never been a bellcow in his career, to take the lion's share of the carries. Needless to say, it's not an ideal position for Mike Macdonald's squad.

3. Brock Purdy

The Seahawks had Brock Purdy's number last year, but he is looking like an entirely new version of himself this season. He has been elite by every metric, and many have tabbed him as the league's best quarterback through four weeks.

If Purdy has truly entered a new realm of quarterbacking, the Seahawks may not know what hit him. With Darnold struggling to perform under duress as of late, the quarterback position is a clear advantage in favor of the Niners.

Why they won't

1. Pass rush

The 49ers haven't allowed a sack all season, but the Seattle pass rush is a different animal. They rank in the top 10 in the league with 11 sacks, including three by star pass rusher Leonard Williams.

The 49ers, in comparison, have just six.

Purdy has performed well when blitzed so far this season, but he could be under duress all afternoon, especially playing in such a loud and hostile environment. Seattle's "12th man" persona could disrupt play calls and timing, leading to more chaos on the front lines. Purdy might experience his most uncomfortable pocket of the season thus far.

2. Injuries

It's no secret that injuries have been mounting in the Bay, and various players' statuses remain up in the air. Mike Evans played through a significant rib injury last week, but his effectiveness could diminish if he keeps trying to fight through the pain.

Cornerback Upton Stout is questionable with a shoulder injury, and players have been suffering new ailments every week. Time will tell whether the 49ers enter the game at full strength.

3. JSN

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been the ultimate cheat code. He is third in the NFL in receiving yards, and his six scores lead the league. Teams know Darnold will look to him nearly every play, yet they can't stop him. His 32 receptions are 23 more than the next closest wide receiver.

One might think that, with such a one-dimensional passing attack, the 49ers would be able to scheme for JSN, but nobody has successfully done so to this point. After a breakout 2025 campaign, the pass catcher only seems to have gotten better.

Time will tell if defensive coordinator Raheem Morris has any tricks up his sleeve, but as of now, JSN stands out as the most dominant offensive force on either side of this contest. Stopping him will be a must if the 49ers wish to keep the Seahawks off the board.

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