No. 1: Draft for the Offense, not the Player
This was one of my favorite fantasy football draft strategies Niner Noise fantasy analyst JD Leidy posted up a year ago.
If you’re struggling in the later rounds to find the right player, think of his team’s overall offense first and foremost.
In case you’re wondering — you should be — here’s the NFL’s latest rankings of the top-10 offenses entering 2017:
- New England Patriots
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Atlanta Falcons
- Oakland Raiders
- Dallas Cowboys
- New Orleans Saints
- Green Bay Packers
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Tennessee Titans
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I might remove the Chargers from that list, especially with rookie wideout Mike Williams (back) potentially on the shelf.
But let’s take another example.
Wide receiver Michael Thomas of the Saints figures to be the guy after New Orleans traded off fellow wideout Brandin Cooks to the Patriots. With a consensus average draft position (ADP) of 15, per Fantasy Pros, Thomas is a better bet than Packers wideout Jordy Nelson, even though Nelson’s ADP is 13.
Why? The Saints should have a better offense, based off the NFL rankings.
As the draft gets deeper, target someone like Titans wideout Corey Davis — ADP of 103 — instead of someone like New York Giants wideout Brandon Marshall — ADP of 76. Tennessee’s offense should be more prolific, based off these rankings, saving you the agony of reaching.
Remember, you want value above all else. It’s how fantasy football is won.