In any sport, not only football, having the same coaching staff each year usually translates to winning.  It is not too often you will see a team have a winning season with a different coaching staff each year.  It is no coincidence that the 49ers have a record of 31-65 since the last season both the offensive and defensive coordinator returned the following season, 2002, which is also the last winning season the 49ers recorded.

Most will acknowledge the 49ers D led by Patrick Willis is turning into a force teams should be afraid of.  Last season the defensive gave up 17.6 points per game, fourth best in the NFL.  Their weakness has been the deep pass and with the drafting of safety Taylor Mays he should help the 49ers cure getting beat deep.

On the other side of the football the constant changing of offensive coordinators has been the main problem especially when you have a young player like quarterback Alex Smith trying to develop into a Pro Bowl quarterback.  This will be Smith’s first of his six seasons in the NFL that he has the same offensive coordinator returning for another season.  Even if Smith had the same offensive coordinator anytime from 2005-2008 his success might not have been any different because the 49ers have severely lacked the necessary talent to compete on offense.  Smith’s development however would be further along than he was last season with the same offensive coordinator each season.

On top of Raye returning Smith is now surround by extremely good talent.  He has receiving targets in Vernon Davis, Michael Crabtree, Josh Morgan and a deep threat Ted Ginn Jr.  The offensive line will be better with the drafting of Anthony Davis and Mike Iupati leading the way for Frank Gore.  Raye will tailor the offense to Smith’s best abilities which is the spread formation like he did last year with success.  Smith went 5-4 as a starter in 2009.

The key to 49ers success in 2010 is if Gore and the offensive line can stay healthy.  Smith rebuilt his shattered confidence last season and that will only improve not having to relearn a whole new offense.  The 49ers went 5-1 against their division last season and almost had a sweep if not for the botched reverse on a punt against the Seahawks in week 13.  Factor in the Brett Favre miracle pass and the almost wins against the Texans and Colts, the 49ers could have had an above .500 record.  But almost does not translate into a W in the win column and at the end of the day the 49ers finished 8-8.  The Rams are still the Rams, the Seahawks are young and have talent but are in a rebuild mode of sorts but can still be a force and the Cardinals have lost too much talent that they relied on to win the last few seasons.  Still, the NFC West is wide-open and the 49ers may not win the division title but they will certainly have their first winning season since 2002.

49ers Win Big

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Regardless of last week’s result against the Seahawks last night’s Monday Night Football game was a must win for the 49ers.  If they had beaten the Seahawks and with the win last night the 49ers would have pulled within one of the game the NFC West title along with the owning the tiebreaker against the Cardinals.  The Niners are still technically alive for a playoff spot but in order for them to win the NFC West the Cardinals need lose their last three games (Lions, Rams, Packers) which seems unlikely but more importantly the Niners need to win to take care of themselves and win out the last three games (Eagles, Lions, Rams) to hope for a long shot spot in the playoffs.  The 49ers have two teams in front of them for the wild card, Giants and Falcons. With the NFC East being played out like a slugfest and with the Falcons big two playmakers in Matt Ryan and Michael Turner hurting and not at 100% there is a small window for the 49ers to creep up in the playoff standings.  Nonetheless the way the 49ers came out and defeated a very good Cardinals team that embarrassed the playoff bound Vikings last week the performance by the team, especially the D, showed that no matter the previous weeks results they learn from it, let it go and can come out and beat a team favored to win 24-9.  Let’s hand out some game gold nuggets:

(Game gold nuggets are based on a one to five scale, one being the lowest, five being the highest)

OFFENSE :

Anytime you switch to a spread offense your run game will suffer.  With rushing attempts of 9, 16 and 7 in the past three games for a total of 117 rushing yards it looked as though the 49ers best offensive player, Frank Gore, was becoming an afterthought in the run as offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye tried to suite the offense to Alex Smith’s abilities.  Being down in the second half in two of the last three games the switch was natural for the team looking for any type of offense and a quick score.  However last night Raye showed that the 49ers can still run the spread to move the offense but when the clock needs to be ran out to preserve a win you can always count on Gore.  With 25 rushing attempts for 167 yards, 6.7 average per carry and one touchdown Gore reminded everyone that he is the best offensive player on the Niners and that offense should run, literally, through him.  Smith did not have a spectacular game stat wise completing 19 of 35 passes for 144 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions but he ran the spread offense effectively.  With the defense creating turnovers that got the offense back Smith’s two interceptions only yielded nine points for the Cardinals.  But what does not show up in the stat book is how poised and how much of a presence Smith had on the field last night commanding the offense.  Smith is emerging out of his old shell and becoming a quarterback that you can rely on in passing situations.

There were times last night when Smith and Michael Crabtree were off as far as knowing where the receiver was going to be and where the quarterback was going to throw.  This is one of the negative side effects I see with Crabtree missing so much time before signing with the Niners but this is something that will correct itself as Smith and Crabtree work more with each other and it becomes instinct on where the two know the ball will be thrown and where the Crabtree needs to be.  Crabtree finished with 5 receptions for 67 yards with one touchdown.  His lone touchdown catch of the night gave the 49er Faithful a glimpse of his athletic ability and what to expect in the future when he pulled down a pass out of the air, continued running along the route and stiff-armed his way for a 35-yard touchdown.  That gave the Niners a 17-0 halftime lead and added momentum on top of the five turnovers by the 49ers D in the first-half.  The 49ers offense is starting to roll and finding its identity as maybe a pass first team but when the time calls for it they run the football effectively whether out of the spread or normal formations.

Another reason for the 49ers success last night was the excellent play by the offensive line that lead Gore to a big rushing night and protected Smith giving up only one sack.  The play that stood out the most to me by the O-line was on Gore’s 36-yard run in the first quarter with right guard David Baas leading the way with a crucial block that allowed Gore’s big gain.  Individually the O-line stats don’t show up in the box score but when you only give up one sack, the offense rushes for 189 yards and have 36:45 time of possession the offensive line as a whole has had a great game

DEFENSE :

The 49ers defense last night was stellar in all aspects: Seven turnovers, five in the first half, that included two interceptions (INT), seven forced fumbles (FF) recovering five of them to go along with 4 sacks.  The D got everyone involved with interceptions by safety Dashon Goldson, who also had 2 FF, and cornerback Tarell Brown.  The five fumbles were recovered by defensive end Parys Haralson, cornerback Dre’ Bly, safety Mark Roman forced the fumble he recovered and defensive end Justin Smith.  Linebacker Ahmad Brooks was the most impressive with a FF and recovery to go along with three sacks.  It is well known how good of an offense the Cardinals have and with the way quarterback Kurt Warner was playing the last four games in which he had 12 touchdown passes and no interceptions with at least a 120 passer rating in each of the games the 49ers D proved it is a force to be reckon with.  The 49ers D have been great against the run this year but it was the weak play against the passing game that opponents exploited so to shutdown a high-powered offense like the Cardinals (Anquan Boldin 5 receptions for 40 yards; Larry Fitzgerald 2 receptions for 22 yards) and limiting their big play makers the 49ers D showed to the nation how good their defense can be and how they rise to the occasion.

A lot has been said about Alex Smith and his development as a quarterback being hindered because of all the various offensive coordinators he has been through.  The 49ers D have shown what the team can develop into if they have consistent coordinators on the sideline.  Greg Manusky is in his third year as the 49ers defensive coordinator and with big games this year against the Rams (five turnovers, shutout), Colts (held Peyton Manning and company to 18 points) and holding Pro Bowl running backs Steven Jackson, Adrian Peterson, Michael Turner and Maurice Jones-Drew all under 100 rushing yards the 49ers are showing a blueprint for the offensive side of the football.

SPECIAL TEAMS :

The only blot on the special teams was Joe Nedney’s 53 yard miss in the second quarter.  It was a long field goal but there was no wind last night at the ‘Stick.  Because of the defenses performance the missed field goal did not matter but at the time the 49ers were to add to a 10-0.  53 yards is within Nedney’s kicking distance and he will need to make these kicks in the last three games of the season.  Andy Lee was his normal self averaging 41.2 yards on each punt.  He did shank one punt in the third quarter that set up a Cardinals field goal.  The big play of the game on special teams came from defensive end Ray McDonald who blocked an extra point which made the score 17-9.

COACHING :

A lot of credit has to be given to Mike Singletary in the way he prepared the 49ers for last night’s game and for making the team forget about the tough loss against the Seahawks that was a win within their reach.  Offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye called a great game by starting out in the spread formation and passing a lot making the Cardinals D think that was going to be the case all night.  But slowly and effectively Raye called running plays for Gore and it worked out to their advantage.  Another great defensive scheme was set-up by defensive coordinator Greg Manusky.  The 49ers brought pressure all night on Warner and made him look like a rookie and forced him to throw into double coverage.  Manusky masked his zone coverage very well and most passing downs he was dropping seven into the zone and on one play only had two rushers and the 49ers caused an interception.  What the coaches need to do now is make sure the 49ers can carry this confidence and momentum over to the next three games if the Niners even want to entertain thoughts of making the playoffs.

Up Next @ Philly:

The 49ers will travel to Philadelphia on Sunday against an Eagles team fighting for the NFC East.  The 49ers have only won once on the road this year which was in week one against the Cardinals and the 49ers have a short week.  Anything is possible but the 49ers will need a performance like last night to be able to keep up with the Eagles.

Niners Win 20-13

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Mike Singletary’s intense passion and motivation gave him a perception of a head coach that is stubborn and unwilling to go against his “physical” with an F style of offense he wanted to install with offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye.  Singletary said in training camp that he wanted to run the football 60% of the time each game.  With a great running back in Frank Gore and an average, if that, non-big playmaking quarterback in Shaun Hill you would probably want to run the football a majority of the time as well.  Not only because of the “Fhysical” nature Singletary longed for but he realized Hill is a game-manager at best and at the time the best offensive player on the team was Gore.  Things have changed since the start of the season with Vernon Davis emerging, finally, Michael Crabtree (MCT) signed, Alex Smith inserted as the starting quarterback and the realization that the 49ers offensive line is not as good as originally thought and is no way cable of successfully running the football 60% of the time.  Even with the evidence of the last six weeks in which the offense was only successful in the spread/shotgun formation Singletary said all week that he was not going to deviate away from his offensive philosophy of running the football down the defenses throat.  He pulled a fast one on us yesterday, which was good, in that he had Raye pass the football on 41 of 61 offensive plays.  That comes out to passing the football 67% of the time.  And the result? A 49ers 20-3 defeat of a very good and playoff hungry team in the Jaguars.  The success of the offense allowed the defense to rest after coming off the field which produced six sacks, two fumble recoveries and three points given up.  Let’s hand out some game gold nuggets.

(Game gold nuggets are based on a 1 to 5 scale with, one being the worst, five being the best)

OFFENSE

Smith completed 27 of 41 passes for 232 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions.  The last stat is the most significant.  With Smith controlling the game while also moving the offense down the field for two touchdowns and two field goals Singletary was convinced that the 49ers can pass a majority of offensive plays and be successful.  “I would say right now I think we have more playmakers in the passing game. We have a lot of playmakers we can throw the ball to. … The best thing that happened this week is I saw leadership on the offensive side of the ball.” Singletary said.  Of the 41 pass attempts 34 of them, 82%, were in the spread/shotgun formation.  The 49er Faithful knows that Smith became a star in college because of Urban Meyer’s spread attack and the only success he has shown this season has been in the spread formation.  Of Smith’s two touchdown passes the one to Gore showed his maturity into a reliable starting quarterback and how comfortable he is now in running the offense.  He relied on his instincts as he scrambled to the right and looked as if he was about to try to run the football in for a score at the five-yard line but he pulled up and sent a perfect pass just over the Jaguars defense and floated perfectly into Gore’s hands as he straddled the sidelines with his toes for the score.  Vernon Davis was his usual self leading all receivers with six receptions for 69 yards and one touchdown.  Smith had plenty of time to pass throughout the game thanks to the offensive line that did not give up a sack.

When you pass 67% of the time the running game will of course suffer.  Gore only managed 33 rushing yards for 16 carries averaging only 2.1 yards per rush.  Even though Gore was heavily involved in the passing game, seven receptions for 14 yards and one touchdown,  the 49ers will need to be careful to not abandon the running game all together and become a one-dimensional team like they were in the first-half of the season only having success in the running game.  But with yesterday’s results and how fun it was to watch a vertical passing game for 67% of the time how could you not want them to pass the football a majority of the time?

The 49ers offense only managed three points in the second half.

DEFENSE

The 49ers defense had their best game of the season so far against the Jaguars yesterday.  (I leave out the Rams game, because the Rams are horrible and the Florida Gators could probably have as much success against them.)  The D only gave up three points, recorded six sacks (a season high) and two fumble recoveries and forced four punts on ten drives.  Defensive end Justin Smith had a big game with five tackles, 1 1/2 sacks, forced a fumble and recovered a fumble.  While the D did not give up a touchdown and limited another big-time Pro Bowl running back Maurice Jones-Drew ,75 rushing yards on 15 carries, they did give up 307 passing yards against David Garrard.  With 49ers offense only able to score a field goal in the second half the defense stepped up and recorded huge sacks that sealed the victory for the Red and Gold.  Outside linebacker Manny Lawson sacked Garrard in the third quarter that ended in a recovered fumble that also ended the Jags drive on the 49ers 17-yardline.  Again with the Jags inside the red-zone at the 49ers 14-yardline the D recorded another sack that resulted in a recovered fumble.  Outside linebacker Parys Haralson forced Garrard to fumble on the first play of the fourth quarter that stopped another Jags potential touchdown score.

When the 49ers offense is successful that carries over to the defense.  Not only because the D can rest more on the sidelines and get ready for the next series but seeing the offense finally make plays and put the 49ers in the lead early in the game the D stepped up like an MLB All-Star closer protecting a lead for a victory.  The D frustrated the Jags offense all game and never allowed them to get an offensive flow started.  Going forward if the 49ers want to contend for the NFC West and a playoff spot it will be the 49ers D that will win them games and not the offense.

In the 49ers five wins the D has given up only 35 points; In the 49ers six losses 178 points have been given up.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Not much happened with the special teams unit for the 49ers and Jaguars.  Kicker Joe Nedney added to the 49ers lead with two field-goals of 46 and 27 yards.  Punter Andy Lee was not his Pro Bowl self only averaging 37.6 yards on five punts but with the way the defense played Lee could have had the Jags start at mid-field after each punt and the 49ers would still have won.  The punt return coverage did give up a 42-yard return by Brian Witherspoon.  The 49ers had Jags kicker Josh Scobee miss two field-goal tries.

COACHING

Singletary held his cards close to chest all week indicating that the 49ers would not all of a sudden reverse course and become a passing team.  Secretly he has telling Jimmy Raye to channel the Utah Alex Smith and make him pass a majority of the time.  Easier said than done especially with the 49ers offensive line.  But you have to give Raye credit for developing a game-plan that best used his quarterback, wide receivers and running back in the passing game while exploiting an injured Jags secondary.  While I would have liked to have seen more success in the running game in the end it does not matter if it was the pass or run, or both that won you the game but that you got the win.  Given an early lead defensive coordinator Greg Manusky was able to rush Garrard with multiple blitz’s that forced sacks and turnovers.  Manusky had his linebackers do most of the blitzing as he left his secondary in coverage to limit wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker and Jones-Drew to only yards but no touchdowns.

Overall Singletary prepared his players on offense and defense well thanks to a great game-plans drawn up by Raye and Manusky.  After the game Singletary, Raye and Smith said they take the offensive strategy game by game and that next week there could be a majority of running plays called rather than passing plays.  This will surely be the theme echoed all week against a Seahawks team the 49ers destroyed with their running game in week two.  But I bet you that the cards will be held tight once again as the 49ers come out and pass all over a weak Seahawks secondary.

After the game Singletary said Vernon Davis, Alex Smith and MCT voiced their opinions about opening up the passing game.

Next up @ Seattle

The 49ers played the best four quarters of football so far this season against the Jags.  This will carry over against the Seahawks who they beat 23-10 in week two.  With a win against the Seahawks and a Cardinals loss against the Vikings, a Monday Night Football showdown will be set-up the following week between the 49ers and Cardinals for the NFC West lead.  One week at a time though, the 49ers look poised for another win.