From “loverpoint” regarding the 49ers’ Aldon Smith: I believe he will try and keep his feet clean for the rest of his career. Will he win his court case? No. Will he serve time? No, he’ll have to pay a hefty fine. He’ll probably be suspended for 4 games for both the DUI and gun charges.
This seems like a plausible scenario. I do expect Smith to be improving on a week-by-week basis. He will undoubtedly face some sort of penalty, probably financial, but I do disagree with you on the suspension. With Roger Goodell’s comments saying, essentially, that he will consider Smith’s and the 49ers’ actions before meting out any punishment, it seems to me that he is about ready to let Smith off the hook—at least for the most part. He will likely be charged a fine in court, yes. He could perhaps be docked a game check or four from the NFL, but I don’t think the NFL will suspend him. If they dock him the checks for the games he already missed, I think they would consider that essentially fining him for that period of time. Why re-punish someone for a mistake they have recognized and attempted to fix? This is where I believe the NFL is attempting to a good job, and I think it will here as well.